An adult day center at about $1.5M, roughly 60 average daily attendance, billed about $100 a day with no contract. Attendance and utilization are the entire business.
Billed at about $100 a day, with roughly 3,100 centers serving about 197,700 participants a day. Empty slots earn nothing, because no bed is held by a contract.
Assumption: Lift utilization from about 70% to about 85% on roughly 85 slots and recover half, about 6 more attendees a day across about 250 days.
Source: Genworth 2024, CDC / NCHS 2022
With no contract, attendance is discretionary. A regular quietly slips from 5 days a week to 3 and revenue falls about 40% on that participant with zero notice.
Assumption: Recover about 0.4 days a week across roughly 60 participants.
Source: Firejar model
Families call several centers and about 75% go with the first that responds. A no-show is an unannounced cancellation nobody chases.
Assumption: Faster intake plus same-day no-show outreach.
Source: USR Engage (directional)
Utilization and days-per-week. Average daily attendance over capacity is your occupancy, and days-per-week per participant is your expansion revenue. With no contract, every absence is a signal to act on that same day.
Treat every no-show as a cancellation with same-day outreach when a regular does not arrive, and defend days-per-week with transportation and engagement, because no contract is doing it for you.